Reminder: We do Start & Sit a little differently at Breakout Live. Avoiding the obvious starts & sits, we offer advice on the not-so-obvious matchups. You know, the ones that can actually make the difference between winning and losing.
So on Breakout Live Start & Sit, we’ll do two things:
- Give Start advice on mid-to-low tier players who are set up for a blowup week.
- Give Sit advice on mid-to-high tier players who are set up for a letdown.
Read on and reap the rewards of a well-deserved Week 10 Win for I Devante Candy or Hot Locketts.
BYES: Ravens, Broncos, Texans, Vikings
Ryan Fitzpatrick: Fitzmagic is back! The Redskins have a good defense, but they’re bottom-10 vs. QBs and they don’t get a lot of picks (just 7 in 2018), which is Fitz’s main bugaboo. Matt Ryan put up 31.6 points against the Skins last week, and I think Fitz goes off in similar fashion.
PPR prediction: 27.4 pts
Josh Rosen: I like what new OC Byron Leftwich is doing with Rosen. Eventually, fantasy owners will too. The emergence of WR Christian Kirk of late gives Rosen a legit deep threat, which he’ll need if the Cards have any chance of keeping up with the Chiefs, who have been the 6th-most generous vs. QBs this year.
PPR prediction: 22.3 pts
Matthew Stafford: Stafford is coming off his worst game of the year with just 9 points, and it’s never a good sign when your fantasy total is outnumbered by the amount of times you were sacked in a game (10 last week). Things won’t get better Sunday against the vaunted Bears defense.
PPR Prediction: 14 pts
Andrew Luck: Luck has had a nice comeback campaign in 2018, but he hasn’t thrown the ball as much lately now that his running game has finally woken up. The Jags are a tough matchup and they’ll take a lot of their Blake Bortles anger out on Luck.
PPR Prediction: 17 pts
Duke Johnson: The Browns are a mess, but it would appear new OC Freddie Kitchens has finally figured out how to use Johnson. The Duke exploded last week for his best game of the year with 9 receptions for 78 yards and 2 TDs. I love Johnson this week as an RB2/FLEX play.
PPR prediction: 16.5 pts
Dion Lewis: The Derrick Henry experiment is not working and the Titans know it. Lewis is coming off a season-high 23 touches last week, and I expect more of the same in a decent matchup vs. New England (15th vs. RBs). Plus, I always like a revenge game when a guy faces his old team.
PPR prediction: 17.7 pts
Sony Michel: Don’t get me wrong, Michel is the real deal. But coming off a knee injury against a Titans’ defense that’s giving up the 3rd fewest points to RBs is not a recipe for success. Add that to the facts that the Patriots are notoriously unpredictable with RB usage and Cordarrelle Patterson seems to have carved out a role for himself in the backfield, and Michel’s Week 10 output could taste less like New England Clam Chowder and more like Puppy Chow for his fantasy owners.
PPR prediction: 8.1 pts
Ezekiel Elliott: Zeke is a monster, no doubt. But he’s only scored once in the last 6 weeks, and you have to wonder if the addition of Amari Cooper will limit Elliot’s ceiling even further. A matchup with Philly’s 5th-stingiest defense vs. RBs is an icky matchup at best.
PPR prediction: 8.4 pts
D.J. Moore: I’m going back to the well that I nearly drowned in last week. I had Moore as a Start in Week 9 after his 130-yard performance the previous week, and he burned me hard: 1 rush, 32 yards, 1 catch, 16 yards. Forgive and forget. Torrey Smith is questionable, and there’s no way Curtis Samuel steals as many reps from Moore as he did last week. On a short week against a below-average D, I like Moore to put up double-digit points with his ability to run and catch.
PPR prediction: 13.2 pts
Christian Kirk: Kirk is now firmly in place as Arizona’s #2 WR, and I believe new OC Byron Leftwich will find ways to get his best deep threat the ball. Josh Rosen is gaining confidence, which has translated to Kirk getting at least 6 targets per game in his last 3. The Cards will be playing from behind almost from the opening kickoff, so I like Kirk to produce nicely as they lean on the pass against KC’s 32nd-ranked passing D.
PPR prediction: 15.4 pts
T.Y. Hilton: Hilton has been banged up this year and he’s coming off his worst fantasy output of the season (4.4 pts) against a terrible Raiders defense before the bye. Hilton should see a lot of All-Pro Jalen Ramsey Sunday, and that’s more than enough incentive to sit him.
PPR prediction: 6.2 pts
Alshon Jeffery: Jeffery has 4 TDs in 5 games played this season, but division matchups tend to be a lot uglier than others, and Dallas has allowed the 2nd fewest points to WRs this year. A-Jeff is set up for a fantasy dud. Sit him this week.
PPR prediction: 7.3 pts
George Kittle: Kittle hasn’t been healthy all year, but it hasn’t really mattered. He’s on pace for over 1,000 yards and he’s the perfect security blanket for Nick Mullens who’s making his 2nd career start. Not even a Questionable tag should keep you away from starting Kittle this week.
PPR prediction: 17.9 pts
Rob Gronkowski: It pains me to put Gronk here, but the numbers don’t lie. His best game of the season was week 1, and he’s averaging just 9.1 PPR points in the other 6 games he’s played. That’s not what you expect from one of the best TEs in the NFL. He’s missed two of the past three games with back flare-ups, he’s been limited in practice this week, and the Titans are #1 vs. TEs this year. It won’t feel good to sit the big fella, but you should.
PPR prediction: 8 pts