Reminder: We do Start & Sit a little differently at Breakout Live. Avoiding the obvious starts & sits, we offer advice on the not-so-obvious matchups. You know, the ones that can actually make the difference between winning and losing.
So on Breakout Live Start & Sit, we’ll do two things:
- Give Start advice on mid-to-low tier players who are set up for a blowup week.
- Give Sit advice on mid-to-high tier players who are set up for a letdown.
Read on and reap the rewards of a well-deserved Week 11 Win for HOPS AND BARKLEY or HIT ME BRADY ONE MORE TIME.
BYES: Bills, Browns, Dolphins, 49ers, Jets, Patriots
Marcus Mariota: Mariota has been mostly unspectacular in his career, but perhaps he’s starting to figure things out. He’s averaged 24.5 points in his last two games and he looks very comfortable right now. He’ll use his legs and his arm to put up QB1-type points against a beatable Colts D.
PPR prediction: 27 pts
Blake Bortles: I’ve been killing Bortles all year, so time to give him some love. He’s averaging 23 points over his last two starts and is coming off a 320-yard, 2 TD performance last week. I expect more of the same as the Jags play from behind with regularity against a Steelers team that gives up the 6th most fantasy points to QBs.
PPR prediction: 24.7 pts
Ben Roethlisberger: Big Ben went off last week vs. Carolina and you’re probably starting him regardless of the matchup. But the matchup is a tough one, as the Jags are 6th best vs. QBs this season. He’s due for a slight letdown this week… slight.
Prediction: 19.4 pts
Andrew Luck: Luck has done more with less than almost anyone in the NFL. But there’s no hiding his lack of weapons, and Tennessee’s #1 scoring defense is legit. They’ll give Luck fits all day.
Prediction: 16.8 pts
Alex Collins: Collins is a bit of a plodder, but he does have 7 TDs in 9 games and the Bengals give up the 5th most TDs to RBs. The presence of Ty Montgomery may take away some opportunities, but not enough not to start Collins.
PPR prediction: 14.6 pts
Doug Martin: The Muscle Hamster is coming off a season-high 90 scrimmage yards and now he gets an Arizona D that gets gashed with regularity. The Cards have given up 13 rushing TDs in 2018 (2nd worst in the NFL), and with injuries to almost any decent WR the Raiders have, they’ll lean on Martin a lot.
PPR prediction: 16.9 pts
Leonard Fournette: I wouldn’t blame you for starting Fournette this week, especially if you’ve waited for him to come back. He did score twice last week, but Pittsburgh is 4th best against fantasy RBs and the Jags will likely be forced to throw a lot in this one.
PPR prediction: 9 pts
Dalvin Cook: Same sentiment as Fournette here – a guy you’ve probably been dying to play since he’s missed most of the year. But the matchup with Chicago is not good, and Cook has been given exactly 10 carries in each of the 3 games he’s played. That’s definitely not enough volume for an RB1 and not even an RB2.
PPR prediction: 6.6 pts
Kenny Golladay: The Lions are a mess, but they’re still playing football. Golladay had 13 targets last week and could be in line for even more if Marvin Jones sits. Carolina is 22nd vs. WRs so the opportunities will be there for Golladay.
PPR prediction: 18.7 pts
Corey Davis: The 2nd-year Western Michigan product is finally starting to figure it out. He went off for 7-125-1 last week against a very good CB in Stephon Gilmore, and now he gets a Colts’ secondary that just gave up 324 yards to Blake Bortles. Davis has 10 targets in back-to-back contests, and I wouldn’t be surprised if he gets just as many looks this week.
PPR prediction: 23.4 pts
Mike Evans: Evans is great, but he hasn’t quite clicked with Ryan Fitzpatrick yet. Just look at his last 2 weeks in PPR: 2.6 and 8.1. That’s just not good enough.
PPR prediction: 7.9 pts
Emmanuel Sanders: The true #1 in Denver, Sanders has been a beast most of the year. But Case Keenum is terrible and the Chargers are playing like the best defense in the league right now. This Sit could wind up making me look silly, but I look silly most of the time anyway, so it’s all good.
PPR prediction: 8.5 pts
Austin Hooper: I want to believe this is a fluke, but Hooper keeps proving me wrong. He’s topped 21.6 PPR points in 2 of his last 4, which is unbelievable considering all the mouths to feed in Atlanta. The Cowboys give up 5.5 catches/game to TEs. Hooper should get at least that many plus some good looks in the red zone.
PPR prediction: 20.2 pts
Zach Ertz: I’m going wayyy of the reservation with this one. I know that. But fortune favors the bold, my friends. Ertz exploded for 40 PPR points last week and he’ll likely find himself in a shootout with the Saints. Problem is, the Saints give up the 3rd fewest points to TEs and I think this game sets up much better for WRs Alshon Jeffery, Golden Tate, and even Nelson Agholor. More looks for those three means less for Ertz.
PPR prediction: 9.7 pts