Reminder: We do Start & Sit a little differently at Breakout Live. Avoiding the obvious starts & sits, we offer advice on the not-so-obvious matchups. You know, the ones that can actually make the difference between winning and losing.
So on Breakout Live Start & Sit, we’ll do two things:
- Give Start advice on mid-to-low tier players who are set up for a blowup week.
- Give Sit advice on mid-to-high tier players who are set up for a letdown.
Read on and reap the rewards of a well-deserved Week 9 win for Post Mahomes or Agholord of the Rings.
BYES: Cardinals, Bengals, Colts, Jaguars, Giants, Eagles
Matthew Stafford: I’ve seen a lot of “sits” for Stafford this week after Detroit traded top WR Golden Tate. So what? The Vikings defense is okay, but they can be beat. I expect the Lions to fall behind early, forcing Stafford to sling it. Plus, pass-catching specialist Theo Riddick will be back, which will help Stafford a lot.
Alex Smith: Smith has been unremarkable at best and hasn’t finished as a top-12 QB yet in 2018. This week he will. Atlanta’s defense is overly-generous, and Smith will use his arms and legs to put up top-10 numbers.
Matt Ryan: I love Atlanta’s offense and Ryan is a top-5 fantasy QB this year, but Washington’s defense is legit. Ryan will struggle to put up starter numbers this week in what looks like it’ll be a low scoring affair.
Mitch Trubisky: Trubisky has been pretty good this year, but Buffalo is tough on QBs and I’m not sure he’ll get enough opportunities, with his defense in line to put a score or two on the board.
Lamar Miller: Miller was rocking bust status early in the year, but he’s gone over 100 yards in his last two games with a TD in each. Now he gets Denver, who is one of the worst run defenses in the league. Ride that wave and start him.
Frank Gore: Once again, Frank Gore is producing as quietly as any player in the league. He leads the Dolphins in rushing, and while he’s yet to get a rushing TD this year, I think Miami leans on the run game this week with their top WRs banged up against a Jets D that can be pushed off the ball.
Kerryon Johnson: Johnson’s owners will point to his last two big games as reasons for starting him this week. That’s cool. But look deeper and you’ll see that nearly half of his 158 yards in Week 7 came on one single run, and his 6 catches in Week 8 came with Theo Riddick sidelined. Johnson is a runner first, and things don’t set up well for him against Minnesota’s 5th ranked run D.
Mark Ingram: It’s hard to carve out a spot alongside Alvin Kamara, but Ingram has done just that. Ingram’s averaging 13.6 carries in the 3 games he’s played, except he hasn’t done much with them. The Rams defend the run well, which plays into Brees’ and Kamara’s hands, not Ingram’s.
D.J. Moore: Carolina has started to get Moore involved with greater regularity, and it’s paying dividends. He had his best career game last week with 5 receptions for 90 yards, and he gets a mouthwatering matchup this week vs. Tampa.
Kenny Golladay: Say hello to Detroit’s new #1 receiver. The matchup with Minnesota isn’t great, but the Golden Tate trade has just opened up 10 targets for Lions pass catchers. Expect the majority of those to go to the athletically gifted Golladay.
Mike Evans: Ryan Fitzpatrick is back for the Bucs, but that benefits Desean Jackson more than it does Evans. He returned to practice Thursday in a limited capacity, but he won’t be 100% Sunday nursing that knee injury. Don’t be shocked if Jackson and TE O.J. Howard outperform Evans vs. Carolina.
Stefon Diggs: I’ll be honest, I have Stefon Diggs on my fantasy team and I’m starting him. But that’s only because I have 3 other WRs on a bye. Diggs has been shaky lately, failing to top 40 yards in 2 of his last 3. With a likely matchup with CB Darius Slay and WR mate Adam Thielen gorging himself on the other side, I don’t love Diggs this week.
Chris Herndon: Chris Who? I’ll admit this is a deep pull, but the TE situation in fantasy requires such. Herndon has scored a TD in 3 straight, and with the Jets potentially missing WRs Quincy Enunwa and Robbie Anderson Sunday, Herndon could be the main beneficiary.
Trey Burton: He’s been hot and cold this year, and last week he was ice cold with just 3 catches for 18 yards. Buffalo has been tough on TEs this year (8th best), and with Nathan Peterman starting on the other side, I fully expect the Bears’ defense to score most of Chicago’s points (see below).
Chicago Bears: This is a first for Breakout Live’s Start/Sit segment, but the matchup is too tasty not to tout this from the high heavens. The fact that the Bears are already taken in pretty much every league notwithstanding, anytime you see Nathan Peterman listed as the Bills’ QB1, you sprint to the waiver wire (or even trade!) for the DST he’s playing. Easy money.